2013 Oscars Predictions

The 2013 Oscars will be announced on 24th February

The 2013 Oscars are announced tonight by Family Guy and Ted creator Seth MacFarlane. Theoretically, the awards should remain difficult to predict, but the Oscars aren’t exactly renowned for producing surprising results.

This year probably isn’t going to be any different, so here are my predictions for the 85th Academy Awards, excluding Best Picture which has its own post.

Best Director

  • Michael Haneke – Amour
  • Ang Lee – Life of Pi
  • David O Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
  • Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild

I would love to see this go to Ang Lee for his sterling work on Life of Pi, the Academy has proven in previous years that they absolutely love Steven Spielberg. Thus, as much as the directorial work in Lincoln is solid rather than remarkable, Spielberg will win at the 2013 Oscars.

Winner: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Potential Shock: Ang Lee – Life of Pi

Best Actor

  • Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
  • Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables
  • Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
  • Denzel Washington – Flight

There’s only one way this can go. It’s Daniel Day-Lewis. He’s clothed in immense power and he doesn’t need to procure the Academy’s votes. If he doesn’t win, I’ll eat my stovepipe hat.

Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Potential Shock: None

Best Actress

  • Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
  • Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
  • Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
  • Naomi Watts – The Impossible

This is a difficult one this year. For a long time, all of the smart money was on Jennifer Lawrence for her strong turn in Silver Linings Playbook, to cap off the actress’ great year with a win at the 2013 Oscars. However, recent months have thrown Jessica Chastain’s Zero Dark Thirty performance and Emmanuelle Riva’s tortured genius in Amour to the forefront, especially given the latter’s BAFTA win.

It will probably still be Lawrence, but this one’s too close to call.

Winner: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Potential Shock: Emmanuelle Riva – Amour

Best Supporting Actor

  • Alan Arkin – Argo
  • Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
  • Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
  • Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained

A two horse race, this one. After the nominations were released and Lincoln was up for everything, Tommy Lee Jones looked like an absolute dead cert for this award. However, Christoph Waltz has been bagging gongs left, right and centre for his stunning portrayal of a slave-freeing bounty hunter in Django Unchained, meaning the momentum is in his camp.

Whilst the Globes and the BAFTAs went for the more off-the-wall Waltz, I think the Academy will stay traditional and go for Jones.

Winner: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Potential Shock: Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amy Adams – The Master
  • Sally Field – Lincoln
  • Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
  • Helen Hunt – The Sessions
  • Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook

As with Best Actor, this one is largely an easy one at the 2013 Oscars. Anne Hathaway’s performance in Les Misérables is by far the best performance on the list and will definitely win.

Winner: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
Potential Shock: None

Best Original Screenplay

  • Michael Haneke – Amour
  • Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
  • John Gatins – Flight
  • Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola – Moonrise Kingdom
  • Mark Boal – Zero Dark Thirty

This is a category that could go a number of ways, but the one that sticks out is very much Quentin Tarantino’s entertaining and witty script for Django Unchained. It’s unlikely that anything else will win here as all of the real meat is in the Adapted Screenplay category.

Winner: Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
Potential Shock: Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola – Moonrise Kingdom

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Chris Terrio – Argo
  • Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild
  • David Magee – Life of Pi
  • Tony Kushner – Lincoln
  • David O Russell – Silver Linings Playbook

This one depends almost entirely on which film wins the Best Picture prize. It’s likely to be Argo if everything else goes as expected, but there is an outside chance for Lincoln.

Winner: Chris Terrio – Argo
Potential Shock: Tony Kushner – Lincoln

Everything Else

I’ll do the smaller categories now. Some of them (like doc shorts) are omitted because I haven’t seen enough nominees to actually have an opinion.

Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour 
Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Best Animated Short: Paperman
Best Original Score: Mychael Danna – Life of Pi
Best Original Song: Adele – “Skyfall” from Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Misérables
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi

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