The Academy Awards don’t exactly have a reputation for unpredictability. It is fairly easy to second guess the Academy on what they will nominate and even what will walk away with the coveted trophies. Here are my predictions for the main acting categories at the 2013 Oscars and also who I’d like to see nominated.
The competition for Best Supporting Actor at the 2013 Oscars is intense. Tommy Lee Jones is guaranteed a nod for this year’s weighty historical biopic Lincoln and Robert De Niro is almost as certain for his form-defying performance in the touching Silver Linings Playbook. Quentin Tarantino’s Django Unchained ensemble will make some form of appearance, whether that is through Christoph Waltz or, my preferred choice based on trailers, Leonardo DiCaprio. There will also be a nomination for Argo, which could comfortably go to either Alan Arkin or John Goodman.
Outside of this, I’d love to see Javier Bardem recognised for his complex Bond villain in Skyfall, but the Academy are unlikely to nominate a Bond film, even one as strong as this. Equally, I would be very happy if Matthew McConaughey got a nomination for his stunning work in the otherwise painfully mediocre Magic Mike. His strip club owner is just the right balance between creepy and sublimely intelligent.
Probable Winner: Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Best Supporting Actress could prove interesting. It will almost certainly be won by Anne Hathaway for Les Miserables, but the other nominations are entirely up in the air. Sally Field for Lincoln is pretty much locked in, as is Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy after a recent awards push, but the other two slots could go a number of ways.
In my ideal world, those spots would go to some combination of three people. Firstly, Amy Adams for her sterling work in The Master where she stole a number of scenes from Philip Seymour Hoffman and Joaquin Phoenix, which is no mean feat. Judi Dench also deserves consideration in the 2013 Oscars for her performance in Skyfall where Sam Mendes finally allowed M to take centre stage. Finally, a bit out of left field, Ann Dowd’s trusting and identifiable portrayal of a fast food store manager in the chilling thriller Compliance.
Probable Winner: Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Again, this is one where the winner is more or less a guarantee. It will be Daniel Day-Lewis for this year’s best-received portrayal of a historical figure (see Meryl Streep in 2012 and Colin Firth in 2011) in Lincoln. Also near guaranteed a nod in the 2013 Oscars are John Hawkes for The Sessions, Denzel Washington for Flight and Hugh Jackman for Les Miserables.
The last slot is less obvious. Smart money is on Joaquin Phoenix for The Master, but an argument could be made for Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) or Ben Affleck (Argo). I, personally, would like to see Anthony Hopkins nominated for the title role in Hitchcock. From the trailers and clips I’ve seen, his portrayal looks perfect and, although the film has received a critical drubbing, I’m really looking forward to seeing it.
Probable Winner:Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
This is an interesting one as, similarly to Supporting Actress, the award could go to someone who has taken on a dramatic role as well as a performance in a big blockbuster. Jennifer Lawrence is the favourite for her role as a troubled woman in Silver Linings Playbook. Jessica Chastain will be nominated for Zero Dark Thirty and Naomi Watts is likely to get a nod for Boxing Day tsunami movie The Impossible.
Also in the running at the 2013 Oscars are Emmanuelle Riva for touching Michael Haneke drama Amour, Helen Mirren for Hitchock and nine year-old Quvenzhane Wallis for Beasts of the Southern Wild. If Wallis is nominated, she would be amongst the youngest Academy Award nominees ever.
Probable Winner: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
It’s a shame that the Academy Awards are so predictable, but it makes it easier for the bloggers, so I can’t complain. I’ll be doing the screenplay and directing awards in another post, as well as predicting Best Picture.
Let me know if you agree with my choices in the comments section.